Calgary Flames
CGY · 39-27-14
5–2
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 20-49-11
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
2601638530
SJS
11515010230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Flames lead the season series 4–0
CGY 39-27-14 · SJS 20-49-11 · Meeting 4 this season — the Flames lead the season series 4–0
Flames beat the Sharks
The Flames earned it: 2.6 expected goals to 2.0, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Georgii Romanov allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 2.0, on 30 and 30 shots on goal.
CGY 2.6 xG · 30 shots
SJS 2.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 03:09 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 09:24 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Adam Klapka · 1st 14:15 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jan Rutta · 2nd 04:20 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 01:30 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Matt Coronato · 3rd 10:55 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 17:16 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 60.
CGY 60%SJS 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 03:09 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 09:24 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Adam Klapka · 1st 14:15 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jan Rutta · 2nd 04:20 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 01:30 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Matt Coronato · 3rd 10:55 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 17:16 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.