CGY
5–4
VGK
Final / SO · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 40-27-14
5–4
Final / SOW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 49-22-10
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CGY
1908310011528
VGK
311013115030442
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Flames trail the season series 1–3
CGY 40-27-14 · VGK 49-22-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the Flames trail the season series 1–3
Flames beat the Golden Knights
Down 1–3 in the 1st period, the Flames erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Backlund's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 42 and 28 shots on goal.
CGY 2.8 xG · 28 shots
VGK 3.7 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 1.0
OT
0.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 05:25 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Frost · 1st 10:11 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Nicolas Roy · 1st 14:52 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 1st 19:36 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 00:32 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 01:04 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Adam Klapka · 3rd 11:01 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Brandon Saad · 3rd 11:12 · 4–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 36.
CGY 36%VGK 64%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 05:25 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Frost · 1st 10:11 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Nicolas Roy · 1st 14:52 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Tomas Hertl · 1st 19:36 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 00:32 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 01:04 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Adam Klapka · 3rd 11:01 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Brandon Saad · 3rd 11:12 · 4–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
5
Jonathan Huberdeau, Matt Coronato · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Flames
Goaltending
38/42 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
