Calgary Flames
CGY · 10-15-4
4–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 15-8-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
06115310431
MIN
0111709127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 10-15-4 · MIN 15-8-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames beat the Wild
The Flames earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
CGY 3.5 xG · 31 shots
MIN 2.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 04:21 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
2
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 16:51 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Matt Coronato · 3rd 03:33 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Connor Zary · 3rd 06:18 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 19:00 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 59.
CGY 59%MIN 41%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 04:21 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
2
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 16:51 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Matt Coronato · 3rd 03:33 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Connor Zary · 3rd 06:18 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:56
Mikael Backlund· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:28
Blake Coleman· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
15:31
Nazem Kadri· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:58
Brock Faber· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:24
Nazem Kadri· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flames went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 4 Wild power plays.