Calgary Flames
CGY · 12-15-4
7–4
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
21231026728
BUF
0731517429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 12-15-4 · BUF 11-14-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Sabres
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.1 expected goals); the Flames won 7–4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.1, on 28 and 29 shots on goal.
CGY 3.2 xG · 28 shots
BUF 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.9 · 1.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 09:54 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 13:22 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 04:24 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 07:05 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Owen Power · 2nd 13:43 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 14:14 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 16:32 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Yan Kuznetsov · 2nd 17:27 · 5–3 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
9
Alex Tuch · 3rd 17:29 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 18:12 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 19:53 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 51.
CGY 51%BUF 49%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 17 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 09:54 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 13:22 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 04:24 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 07:05 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Owen Power · 2nd 13:43 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 14:14 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 16:32 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Yan Kuznetsov · 2nd 17:27 · GWG · 5–3
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
9
Alex Tuch · 3rd 17:29 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 18:12 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:26
Rasmus Andersson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:40
Adam Klapka· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:40
Peyton Krebs· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:40
Ryan Lomberg· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:21
Josh Doan· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:50
Jack Quinn· Tripping
Andersson scored on this power play
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:28
Morgan Frost· Tripping
Thompson scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:02
Beck Malenstyn· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:54
Jordan Greenway· Tripping
Huberdeau scored on this power play
Minor
4
Matt Coronato, Morgan Frost · Power play (Greenway, tripping) · tip in shot, a great chance (37%)
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:44
Jason Zucker· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:14
Matt Coronato· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:14
Mikael Backlund· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:32
Jonathan Huberdeau· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:32
Ryan McLeod· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:02
Kevin Bahl· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:02
Peyton Krebs· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:02
Dustin Wolf· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flames went 2-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Sabres power plays.