CGY
3–4
DET
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 12-16-4
3–4
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 17-11-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
08017312337
DET
2728014429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 12-16-4 · DET 17-11-3 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Flames lost 3–4. Devin Cooley allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 37 and 29 shots on goal.
CGY 2.7 xG · 37 shots
DET 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 01:02 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Axel Sandin-Pellikka · 1st 04:33 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 07:41 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 09:09 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Joel Farabee · 3rd 08:02 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Matt Coronato · 3rd 09:07 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 14:40 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 45.
CGY 45%DET 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 01:02 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Axel Sandin-Pellikka · 1st 04:33 · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 07:41 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 09:09 · GWG · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Joel Farabee · 3rd 08:02 · PS · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Matt Coronato · 3rd 09:07 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 14:40 · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:11
John Gibson· Roughing
John Gibson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:11
Adam Klapka· Slashing
Adam Klapka· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:11
Ryan Lomberg· Roughing
Ryan Lomberg· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:11
Travis Hamonic· Roughing
Travis Hamonic· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:24
Marco Kasper· Holding
Marco Kasper· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:51
Blake Coleman· Tripping
Blake Coleman· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:27
Dylan Larkin· Tripping
Dylan Larkin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:35
Andrew Copp· Holding
Andrew Copp· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:33
Adam Klapka· Roughing
Adam Klapka· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
08:02
Axel Sandin-Pellikka· Ps holding on breakaway
Axel Sandin-Pellikka· Ps holding on breakaway
Penalty shot
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flames went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Red Wings power plays.