CGY
6–3
VGK
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 15-17-4
6–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 16-7-10
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
31121015626
VGK
1719121337
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 1–2
CGY 15-17-4 · VGK 16-7-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 1–2
Flames beat the Golden Knights
The Flames were outchanced (3.4 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Akira Schmid allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 37 and 26 shots on goal.
CGY 2.4 xG · 26 shots
VGK 3.4 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 03:54 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Adam Klapka · 1st 08:42 · 2–0 · deflected shot, a great chance (44%)
3
Reilly Smith · 1st 10:03 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Ryan Lomberg · 1st 15:45 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 08:38 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Joel Farabee · 2nd 12:21 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Kaedan Korczak · 2nd 14:34 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Mark Stone · 3rd 16:03 · 5–3 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 19:15 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 35.
CGY 35%VGK 65%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 4 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Backlund · 1st 03:54 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Adam Klapka · 1st 08:42 · 2–0
Deflected shot, a great chance (44%)
3
Reilly Smith · 1st 10:03 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Ryan Lomberg · 1st 15:45 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 08:38 · GWG · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Joel Farabee · 2nd 12:21 · SH · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Kaedan Korczak · 2nd 14:34 · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Mark Stone · 3rd 16:03 · PP · 5–3
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
15:49
Ryan Lomberg· Fighting
Ryan Lomberg· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
15:49
Jeremy Lauzon· Fighting
Jeremy Lauzon· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:07
Morgan Frost· Tripping
Morgan Frost· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:50
Yan Kuznetsov· High-sticking
Yan Kuznetsov· High-sticking
Stone scored on this power play
Minor
8
Noah Hanifin, Mitch Marner · Power play (Kuznetsov, high-sticking) · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5–3
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flames allowed 1 on 2 Golden Knights power plays.