CGY
3–2
EDM
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 16-18-4
3–2
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 19-14-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
11411018332
EDM
19010112231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
CGY 16-18-4 · EDM 19-14-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
Flames beat the Oilers
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.1 expected goals); the Flames won 3–2. Dustin Wolf stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 31 shots on goal.
CGY 3.0 xG · 32 shots
EDM 3.1 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 07:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 1st 08:36 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Lomberg · 2nd 03:28 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 12:31 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Connor McDavid · 3rd 15:23 · 3–2 · poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 50.
CGY 50%EDM 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 7 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 07:00 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 1st 08:36 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Lomberg · 2nd 03:28 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 12:31 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Connor McDavid · 3rd 15:23 · 3–2
Poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:12
Yan Kuznetsov· Hooking
Yan Kuznetsov· Hooking
Bouchard scored on this power play
Minor
2
Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Power play (Kuznetsov, hooking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:03
Zach Hyman· Slashing
Zach Hyman· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:03
Adam Klapka· Roughing
Adam Klapka· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:16
Leon Draisaitl· Slashing
Leon Draisaitl· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:42
Andrew Mangiapane· Holding the stick
Andrew Mangiapane· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:36
Yan Kuznetsov· Tripping
Yan Kuznetsov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:06
Kevin Bahl· Cross-checking
Kevin Bahl· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
5
Zach Hyman, Evan Bouchard · poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–2
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flames went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Oilers power plays.