Calgary Flames
CGY · 18-19-4
3–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
2110319323
NSH
21611317436
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
CGY 18-19-4 · NSH 19-18-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–3
Flames fell to the Predators
The Flames were outchanced (2.5 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Hague's winner came with 0:29 left. Dustin Wolf allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 36 and 23 shots on goal.
CGY 1.9 xG · 23 shots
NSH 2.5 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 1.2
2nd
0.4 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yan Kuznetsov · 1st 01:56 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Erik Haula · 1st 11:19 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Erik Haula · 1st 12:52 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 13:41 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 04:08 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Blake Coleman · 3rd 12:49 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Nicolas Hague · 3rd 19:31 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 40.
CGY 40%NSH 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 13 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yan Kuznetsov · 1st 01:56 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Erik Haula · 1st 11:19 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Erik Haula · 1st 12:52 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 13:41 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 04:08 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Blake Coleman · 3rd 12:49 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Nicolas Hague · 3rd 19:31 · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
1
MacKenzie Weegar, Jonathan Huberdeau · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
5 min
Major
13:15
Cole Smith· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
13:15
Ryan Lomberg· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:15
John Beecher· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:15
Michael McCarron· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
13:15
Michael McCarron· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
13:15
John Beecher· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:20
Kevin Bahl· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:57
Fedor Svechkov· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
09:52
Nicolas Hague· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
09:52
John Beecher· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:55
Blake Coleman· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:55
Michael Bunting· Embellishment
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:05
Erik Haula· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flames went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Predators power play.