Calgary Flames
CGY · 18-20-4
1–5
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 19-14-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
113018011142
SEA
0811149528
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 18-20-4 · SEA 19-14-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Kraken
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.8 expected goals); the Flames lost 1–5. Philipp Grubauer stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.8, on 42 and 28 shots on goal.
CGY 3.8 xG · 42 shots
SEA 3.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
2.3 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Klapka · 1st 06:33 · 1–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Jacob Melanson · 2nd 02:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
3
Shane Wright · 3rd 01:57 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Vince Dunn · 3rd 05:12 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 17:25 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Matty Beniers · 3rd 17:39 · 1–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 50.
CGY 50%SEA 50%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Klapka · 1st 06:33 · 1–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Jacob Melanson · 2nd 02:17 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
3
Shane Wright · 3rd 01:57 · GWG · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Vince Dunn · 3rd 05:12 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 17:25 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Matty Beniers · 3rd 17:39 · 1–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
1st period
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
09:48
Adam Larsson· Ps hooking on breakaway
Penalty shot
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:18
Joel Farabee· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:44
Chandler Stephenson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
41/42 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Flames went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Kraken power play.