Calgary Flames
CGY · 21-23-4
4–2
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 26-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
143708419
NYI
01019111230
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 21-23-4 · NYI 26-17-5 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Islanders
The Flames were outchanced (3.7 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. David Rittich allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 30 and 19 shots on goal.
CGY 2.1 xG · 19 shots
NYI 3.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 11:51 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Adam Klapka · 2nd 03:04 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Justin Kirkland · 2nd 09:50 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Yan Kuznetsov · 2nd 11:49 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 12:21 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Anders Lee · 3rd 17:04 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 26.
CGY 26%NYI 74%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 11:51 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Adam Klapka · 2nd 03:04 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Justin Kirkland · 2nd 09:50 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Yan Kuznetsov · 2nd 11:49 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 12:21 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Anders Lee · 3rd 17:04 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:00
Adam Pelech· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:31
Kyle MacLean· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:59
Kevin Bahl· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
5
Matthew Schaefer, Simon Holmstrom · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:14
Adam Pelech· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:11
Jonathan Huberdeau· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flames went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Islanders power plays.