CGY
2–4
TOR
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 22-27-6
2–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 26-21-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
07210013230
TOR
1321118422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 22-27-6 · TOR 26-21-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.3 expected goals); the Flames lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 22 shots on goal.
CGY 2.0 xG · 30 shots
TOR 2.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.3
2nd
0.7 · 1.3
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 00:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 07:17 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Troy Stecher · 2nd 09:10 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (52%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 13:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Joel Farabee · 2nd 15:46 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Bobby McMann · 3rd 19:35 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 46.
CGY 46%TOR 54%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 3 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 00:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 07:17 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Troy Stecher · 2nd 09:10 · GWG · 0–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (52%)
4
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 13:15 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Joel Farabee · 2nd 15:46 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Bobby McMann · 3rd 19:35 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:11
Joseph Woll· Holding the stick
Joseph Woll· Holding the stick
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:11
Mikael Backlund· Roughing
Mikael Backlund· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:46
Matthew Knies· Tripping
Matthew Knies· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flames went 0-for-1 on the power play.