Calgary Flames
CGY · 23-27-6
4–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 28-22-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
2101619425
EDM
110115114339
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–1
CGY 23-27-6 · EDM 28-22-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–1
Flames beat the Oilers
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.2 expected goals); the Flames won 4–3. The Flames scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.2, on 25 and 39 shots on goal.
CGY 3.2 xG · 25 shots
EDM 3.2 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd
1.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 03:12 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 05:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Matvei Gridin · 1st 14:44 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Connor Zary · 2nd 11:43 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 18:26 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 04:17 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 06:44 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 50.
CGY 50%EDM 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 03:12 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 05:14 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Matvei Gridin · 1st 14:44 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Connor Zary · 2nd 11:43 · 3–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 18:26 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 04:17 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 06:44 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:54
Evan Bouchard· Tripping
Huberdeau scored on this power play
Minor
1
MacKenzie Weegar, Matvei Gridin · Power play (Bouchard, tripping) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:21
Joel Hanley· Illegal check to head
Draisaitl scored on this power play
Minor
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Evan Bouchard · Power play (Hanley, illegal check to head) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:11
Ryan Lomberg· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:10
Spencer Stastney· Tripping
Gridin scored on this power play
Minor
3
MacKenzie Weegar, Devin Cooley · Power play (Stastney, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:40
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
5 min
Major
07:30
Joel Hanley· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
07:30
Ty Emberson· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:43
Mattias Janmark· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:43
Martin Pospisil· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:06
Matt Coronato· Slashing
Draisaitl scored on this power play
Minor
5
Evan Bouchard, Connor McDavid · Power play (Coronato, slashing) · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:18
MacKenzie Weegar· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flames went 2-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Oilers power plays.