Calgary Flames
CGY · 24-29-7
1–6
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 38-14-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
190507121
DAL
211411013635
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 24-29-7 · DAL 38-14-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Stars
The Flames were outchanced (3.4 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 1–6. Dustin Wolf allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.7, on 35 and 21 shots on goal.
CGY 1.7 xG · 21 shots
DAL 3.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Steel · 1st 08:44 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Frost · 1st 09:52 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 11:54 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 02:26 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Sam Steel · 2nd 06:02 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 08:48 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 19:41 · 1–6 · backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 24.
CGY 24%DAL 76%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Steel · 1st 08:44 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Frost · 1st 09:52 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 11:54 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 02:26 · 1–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Sam Steel · 2nd 06:02 · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 08:48 · 1–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 19:41 · PP · 1–6
Backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:32
Blake Coleman· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:56
Mavrik Bourque· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:25
Nazem Kadri· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:25
Lian Bichsel· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:51
Joel Hanley· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:56
Miro Heiskanen· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:32
MacKenzie Weegar· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:03
Adam Klapka· Interference
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
7
Matt Duchene, Jason Robertson · Power play (Klapka, interference) · backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
1–6
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:44
Joel Hanley· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:58
Mavrik Bourque· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
13/17 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flames went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Stars power plays.