CGY
5–4
CAR
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 25-30-7
5–4
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 40-17-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0631326525
CAR
1907313429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 25-30-7 · CAR 40-17-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames beat the Hurricanes
The Flames were outchanced (3.2 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 5–4 anyway. Brandon Bussi allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 29 and 25 shots on goal.
CGY 2.2 xG · 25 shots
CAR 3.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 1.1
2nd
1.4 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 00:44 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Ryan Strome · 2nd 00:19 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Joel Farabee · 2nd 04:11 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
4
Morgan Frost · 2nd 07:06 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 02:24 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
6
Sean Walker · 3rd 04:41 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Alexander Nikishin · 3rd 05:43 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Joel Farabee · 3rd 17:42 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 19:48 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 34.
CGY 34%CAR 66%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 7 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 00:44 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Ryan Strome · 2nd 00:19 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Joel Farabee · 2nd 04:11 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
4
Morgan Frost · 2nd 07:06 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 02:24 · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
6
Sean Walker · 3rd 04:41 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Alexander Nikishin · 3rd 05:43 · PP · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Joel Farabee · 3rd 17:42 · GWG · 5–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 19:48 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:44
K'Andre Miller· High-sticking
K'Andre Miller· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:06
Adam Klapka· Roughing
Adam Klapka· Roughing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:30
K'Andre Miller· Hooking
K'Andre Miller· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:00
Mike Reilly· Tripping
Mike Reilly· Tripping
Frost scored on this power play
Minor
4
Zayne Parekh, Ryan Strome · Power play (Reilly, tripping) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:01
Brayden Pachal· Roughing
Brayden Pachal· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:01
Sebastian Aho· Roughing
Sebastian Aho· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:15
Brayden Pachal· Interference
Brayden Pachal· Interference
Nikishin scored on this power play
Minor
7
Sebastian Aho, Seth Jarvis · Power play (Pachal, interference) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–3
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Flames went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Hurricanes power plays.