CGY
4–1
FLA
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 28-34-7
4–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 34-32-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
010210216436
FLA
080819125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 28-34-7 · FLA 34-32-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Panthers
The Flames earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 1.9, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Flames owned the 3rd period, 1.9 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 36 and 25 shots on goal.
CGY 3.9 xG · 36 shots
FLA 1.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Farabee · 2nd 07:44 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 10:10 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
A.J. Greer · 3rd 04:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Morgan Frost · 3rd 16:59 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (39%)
5
Matt Coronato · 3rd 17:30 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 79.
CGY 79%FLA 21%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 10 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Farabee · 2nd 07:44 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 10:10 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
A.J. Greer · 3rd 04:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Morgan Frost · 3rd 16:59 · PP · 3–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (39%)
5
Matt Coronato · 3rd 17:30 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:45
· Tripping
· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:36
Dmitry Kulikov· Slashing
Dmitry Kulikov· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:22
Martin Pospisil· Roughing
Martin Pospisil· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:41
Niko Mikkola· High-sticking
Niko Mikkola· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:20
Matt Coronato· Holding
Matt Coronato· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:14
A.J. Greer· Hooking
A.J. Greer· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
11:14
A.J. Greer· Interference
A.J. Greer· Interference
Killed
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
11:14
A.J. Greer· Game
A.J. Greer· Game
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Joel Farabee· Tripping
Joel Farabee· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:39
Tomas Nosek· Tripping
Tomas Nosek· Tripping
Frost scored on this power play
Minor
4
Yegor Sharangovich, Zayne Parekh · Power play (Nosek, tripping) · backhand shot, a great chance (39%)
3–1
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flames went 2-for-6 on the power play and killed all 3 Panthers power plays.