CGY
4–1
UTA
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 33-38-9
4–1
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 42-32-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
2140326423
UTA
04011114129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
CGY 33-38-9 · UTA 42-32-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–1
Flames beat the Mammoth
The Flames earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Dustin Wolf stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 23 and 29 shots on goal.
CGY 2.7 xG · 23 shots
UTA 2.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.3
2nd
0.3 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Coronato · 1st 07:06 · 1–0 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Connor Zary · 1st 08:27 · 2–0 · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 06:01 · 3–0 · poke shot, a great chance (67%)
4
Brayden Pachal · 3rd 09:10 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 11:20 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 60.
CGY 60%UTA 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Coronato · 1st 07:06 · 1–0
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Connor Zary · 1st 08:27 · GWG · 2–0
Deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 06:01 · 3–0
Poke shot, a great chance (67%)
4
Brayden Pachal · 3rd 09:10 · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Lawson Crouse · 3rd 11:20 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Morgan Frost, Brayden Pachal · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2
Zayne Parekh, Zach Whitecloud · deflected shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
