Calgary Flames
CGY · 34-39-9
3–1
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 35-27-20
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
021929320
LAK
01011008128
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–1
CGY 34-39-9 · LAK 35-27-20 · Meeting 4 this season — the Flames lead the season series 3–1
Flames beat the Kings
The Flames were outchanced (2.8 to 0.9 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Arsenii Sergeev stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 0.9, on 28 and 20 shots on goal.
CGY 0.9 xG · 20 shots
LAK 2.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.1 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Frost · 2nd 05:21 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Quinton Byfield · 2nd 06:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Zayne Parekh · 3rd 06:08 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Joel Farabee · 3rd 19:20 · 3–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 17.
CGY 17%LAK 83%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Frost · 2nd 05:21 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Quinton Byfield · 2nd 06:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Zayne Parekh · 3rd 06:08 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Joel Farabee · 3rd 19:20 · EN · 3–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:28
Drew Doughty· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:26
Aydar Suniev· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:37
Samuel Helenius· Illegal check to head
Frost scored on this power play
Minor
1
Matvei Gridin, Matt Coronato · Power play (Helenius, illegal check to head) · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:12
Joel Farabee· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:38
Blake Coleman· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:38
Alex Laferriere· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:43
Brian Dumoulin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Flames went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Kings power plays.