Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 7-5
3–1
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 6-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
111110113334
NYR
150507117
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 3–2
CAR 7-5 · NYR 6-6 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 3–2
Hurricanes beat the Rangers
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 1.4, and a 3–1 win to show for it. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 1.5 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.4, on 34 and 17 shots on goal.
CAR 3.5 xG · 34 shots
NYR 1.4 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vincent Trocheck · 1st 12:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 17:06 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 09:47 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 13:01 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 83.
CAR 83%NYR 17%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vincent Trocheck · 1st 12:57 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mika Zibanejad · 1st 17:06 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 09:47 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 13:01 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/17 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.