CAR
2–6
NYR
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 7-7
2–6
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 8-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
016012211239
NYR
21119311631
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Hurricanes trail the series 3–4
CAR 7-7 · NYR 8-6 · Game 7 — the Hurricanes trail the series 3–4
Hurricanes fell to the Rangers
The Hurricanes created the better chances (4.0 to 3.4 expected goals) — and lost 2–6. Igor Shesterkin stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 3.4, on 39 and 31 shots on goal.
CAR 4.0 xG · 39 shots
NYR 3.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 1.8
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd
1.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Fox · 1st 03:40 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Chris Kreider · 1st 08:00 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Ryan Strome · 2nd 16:19 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Chris Kreider · 3rd 03:59 · 0–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 08:11 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Filip Chytil · 3rd 08:51 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Max Domi · 3rd 16:13 · 2–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
Andrew Copp · 3rd 17:08 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 58.
CAR 58%NYR 42%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Fox · 1st 03:40 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Chris Kreider · 1st 08:00 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Ryan Strome · 2nd 16:19 · GWG · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Chris Kreider · 3rd 03:59 · 0–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 08:11 · PP · 1–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Filip Chytil · 3rd 08:51 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Max Domi · 3rd 16:13 · 2–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
Andrew Copp · 3rd 17:08 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
9/12 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
