CAR
2–6
NYI
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 4-2-1
2–6
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 4-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
07217011235
NYI
19212311632
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
CAR 4-2-1 · NYI 4-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Islanders
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.2 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 2–6. Frederik Andersen allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 35 and 32 shots on goal.
CAR 3.2 xG · 35 shots
NYI 2.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
1.6 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 16:29 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 08:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Matt Martin · 2nd 14:29 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 15:35 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Josh Bailey · 2nd 16:26 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 03:59 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Brock Nelson · 3rd 11:06 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Zach Parise · 3rd 18:06 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 64.
CAR 64%NYI 36%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 16:29 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 08:57 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Matt Martin · 2nd 14:29 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 15:35 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Josh Bailey · 2nd 16:26 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 03:59 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Brock Nelson · 3rd 11:06 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Zach Parise · 3rd 18:06 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
5
Mathew Barzal, Alexander Romanov · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
