CAR
5–3
BUF
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-2-1
5–3
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
211112210533
BUF
280819325
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 8-2-1 · BUF 7-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 5–3. Craig Anderson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 25 shots on goal.
CAR 2.8 xG · 33 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jacob Bryson · 1st 00:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 08:07 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 1st 10:06 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 1st 12:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 04:03 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 09:22 · 4–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:46 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 19:59 · 5–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 54.
CAR 54%BUF 46%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jacob Bryson · 1st 00:28 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 08:07 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 1st 10:06 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 1st 12:45 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 04:03 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 09:22 · GWG · 4–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:46 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 19:59 · PP · 5–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
