Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 9-4-1
7–2
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 8-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
11436312732
EDM
081816222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 9-4-1 · EDM 8-7-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Oilers
Chances were even (3.9 to 3.5 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 7–2. Jack Campbell allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 3.5, on 32 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 3.9 xG · 32 shots
EDM 3.5 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd
1.1 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 19:40 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Brent Burns · 2nd 05:58 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:25 · 2–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 10:24 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Staal · 2nd 19:59 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Connor McDavid · 3rd 07:26 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 14:27 · 5–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 15:49 · 6–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
9
Jesper Fast · 3rd 17:42 · 7–2 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 55.
CAR 55%EDM 45%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 19:40 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Brent Burns · 2nd 05:58 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Zach Hyman · 2nd 07:25 · PP · 2–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 10:24 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Staal · 2nd 19:59 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Connor McDavid · 3rd 07:26 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 14:27 · 5–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 15:49 · 6–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
9
Jesper Fast · 3rd 17:42 · 7–2
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Jordan Martinook, Jaccob Slavin · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/32 saves · 7 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.