Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 11-6-5
3–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 9-9-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
11419110333
CGY
181804220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 11-6-5 · CGY 9-9-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Flames
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.2, and a 3–2 win to show for it. The Hurricanes scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.2, on 33 and 20 shots on goal.
CAR 3.4 xG · 33 shots
CGY 2.2 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 06:20 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Adam Ruzicka · 1st 18:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 03:41 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 12:57 · 2–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
5
Brett Pesce · 3rd 08:46 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 69.
CAR 69%CGY 31%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 06:20 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Adam Ruzicka · 1st 18:09 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 03:41 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 12:57 · 2–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (19%)
5
Brett Pesce · 3rd 08:46 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.