CAR
5–4
DAL
Final / OT · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 18-6-6
5–4
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 18-8-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
2811311512538
DAL
191621302430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 18-6-6 · DAL 18-8-6 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Stars
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in overtime on Necas's goal. Antti Raanta allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 38 and 30 shots on goal.
CAR 3.8 xG · 38 shots
DAL 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 06:20 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 17:03 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Joe Pavelski · 1st 18:38 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 05:38 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 13:54 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 02:44 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 09:05 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 10:47 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Martin Necas · OT 02:19 · 5–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 72.
CAR 72%DAL 28%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 06:20 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 17:03 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Joe Pavelski · 1st 18:38 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 05:38 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 13:54 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 02:44 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 09:05 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 10:47 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Martin Necas · OT 02:19 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
