CAR
3–2
PIT
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 19-6-6
3–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 18-9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
0711329329
PIT
0111618225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 19-6-6 · PIT 18-9-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Penguins
The Hurricanes were outchanced (2.9 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Casey DeSmith allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 25 and 29 shots on goal.
CAR 2.0 xG · 29 shots
PIT 2.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Derek Stepan · 2nd 03:25 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 12:20 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brock McGinn · 3rd 05:03 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brady Skjei · 3rd 08:17 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Staal · 3rd 13:33 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 34.
CAR 34%PIT 66%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Derek Stepan · 2nd 03:25 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Rickard Rakell · 2nd 12:20 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brock McGinn · 3rd 05:03 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brady Skjei · 3rd 08:17 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Staal · 3rd 13:33 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
