Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 25-8-6
3–5
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 17-14-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
118221028367
NSH
1727211525
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
CAR 25-8-6 · NSH 17-14-6 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Predators
The Hurricanes created the better chances (6.0 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Juuse Saros stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 6.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 67 and 25 shots on goal.
CAR 6.0 xG · 67 shots
NSH 2.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.6 · 0.9
2nd
2.1 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
2.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Paul Stastny · 1st 07:41 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 10:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brady Skjei · 2nd 00:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 02:47 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Staal · 2nd 09:54 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Cody Glass · 2nd 11:55 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 05:06 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Colton Sissons · 3rd 19:57 · 3–5 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 88.
CAR 88%NSH 12%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Paul Stastny · 1st 07:41 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 10:29 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brady Skjei · 2nd 00:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 02:47 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Staal · 2nd 09:54 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Cody Glass · 2nd 11:55 · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 05:06 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Colton Sissons · 3rd 19:57 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
1
Brett Pesce, Teuvo Teravainen · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
64/67 saves · 3 GA · 6.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.