Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 28-9-8
5–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 25-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
01137211529
MIN
06115110231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 28-9-8 · MIN 25-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Wild
The Hurricanes were outchanced (4.3 to 3.2 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Frederik Andersen stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 3.2, on 31 and 29 shots on goal.
CAR 3.2 xG · 29 shots
MIN 4.3 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 2.2
3rd
0.8 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 07:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
2
Brent Burns · 2nd 09:07 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Brady Skjei · 2nd 13:33 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 17:22 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jalen Chatfield · 3rd 02:13 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 05:27 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Matt Boldy · 3rd 07:21 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 35.
CAR 35%MIN 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 07:11 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
2
Brent Burns · 2nd 09:07 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Brady Skjei · 2nd 13:33 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 17:22 · SH · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jalen Chatfield · 3rd 02:13 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 05:27 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Matt Boldy · 3rd 07:21 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.