Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 36-10-8
6–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 23-28-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
217012412641
MTL
181806222
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 36-10-8 · MTL 23-28-4 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Canadiens
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 2.5, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Samuel Montembeault allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 41 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 4.1 xG · 41 shots
MTL 2.5 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
2.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 03:24 · 0–1 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 12:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:47 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
· 2nd 15:01 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 02:05 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 03:53 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Jordan Staal · 3rd 05:00 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:40 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 72.
CAR 72%MTL 28%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 03:24 · 0–1
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 12:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:47 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
· 2nd 15:01 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 02:05 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 03:53 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Jordan Staal · 3rd 05:00 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:40 · SH · 6–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/41 saves · 6 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.