Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 37-10-8
4–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 28-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
110312013435
WSH
0708110125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–0
CAR 37-10-8 · WSH 28-24-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–0
Hurricanes beat the Capitals
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 1.2, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.2, on 35 and 25 shots on goal.
CAR 4.1 xG · 35 shots
WSH 1.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.3
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 02:11 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a great chance (36%)
2
Paul Stastny · 2nd 05:47 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 08:48 · 3–0 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 11:17 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Tom Wilson · 3rd 10:32 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 90.
CAR 90%WSH 10%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 02:11 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a great chance (36%)
2
Paul Stastny · 2nd 05:47 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 08:48 · PP · 3–0
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 11:17 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Tom Wilson · 3rd 10:32 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.