Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 39-10-8
4–0
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 27-26-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
2170726430
OTT
07013012032
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 39-10-8 · OTT 27-26-4 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Senators
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.4 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 4–0. Antti Raanta stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.4, on 30 and 32 shots on goal.
CAR 3.6 xG · 30 shots
OTT 3.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.3 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brent Burns · 1st 03:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 06:29 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Martin Necas · 3rd 12:34 · 3–0 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Brady Skjei · 3rd 16:30 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 52.
CAR 52%OTT 48%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brent Burns · 1st 03:48 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 06:29 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Martin Necas · 3rd 12:34 · 3–0
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Brady Skjei · 3rd 16:30 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 3.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.