Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 41-12-8
6–0
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 37-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
212211215638
TBL
0400010014
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 41-12-8 · TBL 37-21-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Lightning
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 1.3, and a 6–0 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.3, on 38 and 14 shots on goal.
CAR 3.8 xG · 38 shots
TBL 1.3 xG · 14 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.1
2nd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
3rd
1.8 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 06:30 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 17:13 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 11:57 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 15:50 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 11:03 · 5–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 16:34 · 6–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 87.
CAR 87%TBL 13%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 06:30 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 17:13 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 11:57 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 15:50 · PP · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 11:03 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 16:34 · PP · 6–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/14 saves · 0 GA · 1.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/38 saves · 6 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.