CAR
5–3
TOR
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 47-16-8
5–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 43-20-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
2160537528
TOR
016218110344
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
CAR 47-16-8 · TOR 43-20-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
Hurricanes beat the Maple Leafs
The Hurricanes were outchanced (5.6 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Aho's winner came with 2:26 left. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 5.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 44 and 28 shots on goal.
CAR 2.4 xG · 28 shots
TOR 5.6 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.5 · 2.2
2nd
0.4 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brent Burns · 1st 01:54 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jordan Staal · 1st 10:52 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 04:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 12:41 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 08:13 · 3–2 · poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 17:02 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
7
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:34 · 4–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 18:43 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 13.
CAR 13%TOR 87%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brent Burns · 1st 01:54 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jordan Staal · 1st 10:52 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 04:41 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 2nd 12:41 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 08:13 · 3–2
Poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 17:02 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
7
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:34 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 18:43 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
41/44 saves · 3 GA · 5.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
