Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 47-17-9
0–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 43-26-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
0809014031
TBL
082627421
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
CAR 47-17-9 · TBL 43-26-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
Hurricanes fell to the Lightning
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.0 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 0–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.7, on 31 and 21 shots on goal.
CAR 3.0 xG · 31 shots
TBL 1.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 05:58 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 14:23 · 0–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 12:17 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Alex Killorn · 3rd 15:39 · 0–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 73.
CAR 73%TBL 27%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 05:58 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 14:23 · 0–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 12:17 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Alex Killorn · 3rd 15:39 · EN · 0–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/31 saves · 0 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.