Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 49-18-9
2–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 39-30-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
01511317235
NYI
170708122
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–1
CAR 49-18-9 · NYI 39-30-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–1
Hurricanes beat the Islanders
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.4, and a 2–1 win to show for it. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.4, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 3.2 xG · 35 shots
NYI 1.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 0.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 17:33 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 09:27 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 02:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 79.
CAR 79%NYI 21%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 17:33 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 09:27 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 02:31 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.