CAR
3–2
OTT
Final / OT · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 50-18-9
3–2
Final / OTW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 37-34-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
21201301012337
OTT
010191900228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 50-18-9 · OTT 37-34-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Senators
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 3.3, and they won it in overtime on Necas's goal. Antti Raanta stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 3.3, on 37 and 28 shots on goal.
CAR 4.0 xG · 37 shots
OTT 3.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.9 · 1.4
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 01:50 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 15:58 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 10:39 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 02:52 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Martin Necas · OT 04:19 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 60.
CAR 60%OTT 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 1st 01:50 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 15:58 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Claude Giroux · 2nd 10:39 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 02:52 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Martin Necas · OT 04:19 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Jesperi Kotkaniemi, Stefan Noesen · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
