Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 51-21-9
4–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 35-36-10
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
21211115428
DET
061807121
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
CAR 51-21-9 · DET 35-36-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
Hurricanes beat the Red Wings
The Hurricanes earned it: 2.0 expected goals to 1.2, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.0 expected goals to 1.2, on 28 and 21 shots on goal.
CAR 2.0 xG · 28 shots
DET 1.2 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 0.3
3rd
0.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 02:46 · 1–0 · wrap around shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 07:50 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Robert Hagg · 2nd 05:05 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 09:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 19:18 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 66.
CAR 66%DET 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 02:46 · 1–0
Wrap around shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 07:50 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Robert Hagg · 2nd 05:05 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 09:10 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 3rd 19:18 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.