Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-2
2–3
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
011113112236
NYI
1521205322
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 3–2
CAR 3-2 · NYI 2-3 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 3–2
Hurricanes fell to the Islanders
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.5 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 36 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 3.5 xG · 36 shots
NYI 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre Engvall · 1st 10:27 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 03:16 · 0–2 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Paul Stastny · 2nd 13:10 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 18:05 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 10:28 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 76.
CAR 76%NYI 24%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre Engvall · 1st 10:27 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Brock Nelson · 2nd 03:16 · 0–2
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Paul Stastny · 2nd 13:10 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 18:05 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 10:28 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.