Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 5-2
5–1
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 4-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
2101627523
NJD
011908118
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Hurricanes lead the series 1–0
CAR 5-2 · NJD 4-4 · Game 1 — the Hurricanes lead the series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Devils
The Hurricanes earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Akira Schmid allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 23 and 18 shots on goal.
CAR 2.8 xG · 23 shots
NJD 1.7 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.1
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brett Pesce · 1st 09:41 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:43 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 01:55 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 05:02 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Brady Skjei · 3rd 10:17 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jesper Fast · 3rd 16:44 · 5–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 69.
CAR 69%NJD 31%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brett Pesce · 1st 09:41 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:43 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 01:55 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 05:02 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Brady Skjei · 3rd 10:17 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jesper Fast · 3rd 16:44 · EN · 5–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/18 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/11 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.