CAR
3–2
NJD
Final / OT · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-3
3–2
Final / OTW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 5-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
0821201118339
NJD
171140503229
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 4–1
CAR 8-3 · NJD 5-7 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 4–1
Hurricanes beat the Devils
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.0 expected goals); the Hurricanes won it in overtime on Fast's goal. Frederik Andersen stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.0, on 39 and 29 shots on goal.
CAR 3.4 xG · 39 shots
NJD 3.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
OT
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dawson Mercer · 1st 15:06 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jaccob Slavin · 2nd 00:50 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 07:15 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 19:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jesper Fast · OT 07:09 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 56.
CAR 56%NJD 44%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dawson Mercer · 1st 15:06 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jaccob Slavin · 2nd 00:50 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 07:15 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 19:22 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jesper Fast · OT 07:09 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
