CAR
2–3
FLA
Final / OT · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-4
2–3
Final / OTL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 9-4
1ST2ND3RDOT2OT3OT4OTT
CAR
11205114034000000265
FLA
0102802040000010360
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–1
CAR 8-4 · FLA 9-4 · Game 1 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Panthers
The Hurricanes created the better chances (6.6 to 4.8 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Tkachuk's goal. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 4.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 6.6 expected goals to 4.8, on 65 and 60 shots on goal.
CAR 6.6 xG · 65 shots
FLA 4.8 xG · 60 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1st
1.8 · 1.0
2nd
0.4 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.0
OT
3.0 · 3.3
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
3OT
0.0 · 0.0
4OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 19:48 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 15:28 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 17:43 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 03:47 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 4OT 19:47 · 2–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 70.
CAR 70%FLA 30%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 19:48 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 15:28 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 17:43 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 03:47 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 4OT 19:47 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
2
Anthony Duclair, Carter Verhaeghe · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–1
3
Anthony Duclair, Aleksander Barkov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
4th overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
57/60 saves · 3 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
63/65 saves · 2 GA · 6.6 xGA
Stopped 4.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
