CAR
1–2
FLA
Final / OT · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-5
1–2
Final / OTL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 10-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
120080802138
FLA
011180314226
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–2
CAR 8-5 · FLA 10-4 · Game 2 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–2
Hurricanes fell to the Panthers
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.8 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Tkachuk's goal. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 38 and 26 shots on goal.
CAR 3.8 xG · 38 shots
FLA 2.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.2
OT
0.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 01:43 · 1–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 07:43 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · OT 01:51 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 77.
CAR 77%FLA 23%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 01:43 · 1–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 07:43 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · OT 01:51 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
