CAR
5–3
OTT
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 1-0-0
5–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
014218310542
OTT
1120929330
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 1-0-0 · OTT 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Senators
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.1 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 5–3. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.1, on 42 and 30 shots on goal.
CAR 3.3 xG · 42 shots
OTT 3.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.3
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 03:14 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 02:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 17:57 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Staal · 3rd 00:20 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Parker Kelly · 3rd 05:14 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Tim Stützle · 3rd 05:49 · 3–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 07:51 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 11:05 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 54.
CAR 54%OTT 46%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 03:14 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 02:55 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 17:57 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Staal · 3rd 00:20 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Parker Kelly · 3rd 05:14 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Tim Stützle · 3rd 05:49 · 3–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 07:51 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 11:05 · SH · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Unassisted · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–3
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/42 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
