Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-5-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 6-6-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
19091712327
BUF
06181502221
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 8-5-0 · BUF 6-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Sabres
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in overtime on Necas's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 27 and 21 shots on goal.
CAR 3.3 xG · 27 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.3
OT
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 12:43 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 03:51 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
3
Brady Skjei · 3rd 07:54 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 09:23 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Martin Necas · OT 01:30 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (35%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 66.
CAR 66%BUF 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 12:43 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 03:51 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
3
Brady Skjei · 3rd 07:54 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 09:23 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Martin Necas · OT 01:30 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (35%)
1st period
1
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.