CAR
4–2
PIT
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 10-7-0
4–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 8-8-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
011111312434
PIT
11105112228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 10-7-0 · PIT 8-8-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Penguins
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.6 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 4–2. Antti Raanta stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.6, on 34 and 28 shots on goal.
CAR 3.3 xG · 34 shots
PIT 3.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
1.3 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 10:40 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 13:06 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Brent Burns · 3rd 02:46 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 09:16 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 11:52 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:22 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 45.
CAR 45%PIT 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 10:40 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 13:06 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Brent Burns · 3rd 02:46 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 09:16 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 11:52 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:22 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
