CAR
6–3
EDM
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 11-7-0
6–3
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
4121718627
EDM
1814111323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 11-7-0 · EDM 5-12-1 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Oilers
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.8 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 6–3. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.8, on 27 and 23 shots on goal.
CAR 2.8 xG · 27 shots
EDM 2.8 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jesper Fast · 1st 09:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jack Drury · 1st 09:52 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 11:23 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:48 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Zach Hyman · 1st 17:13 · 4–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 2nd 02:13 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 17:48 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Zach Hyman · 3rd 03:46 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Brent Burns · 3rd 18:56 · 6–3 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 50.
CAR 50%EDM 50%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jesper Fast · 1st 09:17 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jack Drury · 1st 09:52 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 11:23 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:48 · GWG · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Zach Hyman · 1st 17:13 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 2nd 02:13 · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
7
Mattias Ekholm · 2nd 17:48 · SH · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Zach Hyman · 3rd 03:46 · 5–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Brent Burns · 3rd 18:56 · EN · 6–3
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Jordan Martinook, Jalen Chatfield · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
5
Leon Draisaitl, Evan Bouchard · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
13/15 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
7/8 saves · 1 GA · 0.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
