Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 11-8-0
2–8
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 10-6-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1811204224
TBL
013657814
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
CAR 11-8-0 · TBL 10-6-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
Hurricanes fell to the Lightning
The Hurricanes created the better chances (2.9 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 2–8. Antti Raanta allowed 6.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 24 and 14 shots on goal.
CAR 2.9 xG · 24 shots
TBL 2.0 xG · 14 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.2
2nd
1.5 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 18:12 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 01:34 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 05:40 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 05:54 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 14:45 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 05:33 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Luke Glendening · 3rd 06:53 · 2–5 · wrap around shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Brayden Point · 3rd 10:41 · 2–6 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 16:45 · 2–7 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Brayden Point · 3rd 18:08 · 2–8 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 64.
CAR 64%TBL 36%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 18:12 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 01:34 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 05:40 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 05:54 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 14:45 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 05:33 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Luke Glendening · 3rd 06:53 · 2–5
Wrap around shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Brayden Point · 3rd 10:41 · 2–6
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 16:45 · 2–7
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
10
Brayden Point · 3rd 18:08 · PP · 2–8
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
6/14 saves · 8 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 6.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.