Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 13-8-1
4–5
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 9-7-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
11211521501443
NYI
17231412516
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 13-8-1 · NYI 9-7-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes fell to the Islanders
The Hurricanes created the better chances (5.1 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Barzal's goal. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 5.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 43 and 16 shots on goal.
CAR 5.1 xG · 43 shots
NYI 2.5 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 0.6
3rd
1.7 · 0.9
OT
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 08:08 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 18:00 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Staal · 2nd 02:01 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 15:59 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 18:03 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jack Drury · 3rd 00:39 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 06:41 · 3–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (57%)
8
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:57 · 4–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Mathew Barzal · OT 02:46 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 83.
CAR 83%NYI 17%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 08:08 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 18:00 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Staal · 2nd 02:01 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 15:59 · SH · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 18:03 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jack Drury · 3rd 00:39 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 06:41 · PP · 3–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (57%)
8
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 19:57 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Mathew Barzal · OT 02:46 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Jordan Staal, Brent Burns · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–4
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
11/16 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
39/43 saves · 4 GA · 5.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.