CAR
6–2
BUF
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-8-1
6–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 10-12-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
210311116637
BUF
070728222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 14-8-1 · BUF 10-12-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Sabres
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 1.6, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Eric Comrie allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 1.6, on 37 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 4.6 xG · 37 shots
BUF 1.6 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 0.3
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 15:26 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jack Drury · 1st 16:36 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 01:06 · 3–0 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 14:12 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 18:04 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 04:08 · 5–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 08:05 · 6–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Tyson Jost · 3rd 09:24 · 6–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 88.
CAR 88%BUF 12%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 15:26 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jack Drury · 1st 16:36 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 01:06 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 14:12 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 18:04 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 04:08 · 5–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 08:05 · SH · 6–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Tyson Jost · 3rd 09:24 · 6–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/37 saves · 6 GA · 4.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
