CAR
5–6
NSH
Final / OT · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 16-12-2
5–6
Final / OTL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 17-13-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
2113701300531
NSH
173141811630
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
CAR 16-12-2 · NSH 17-13-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Predators
The Hurricanes let a 4–2 lead get away: the Predators came back with four unanswered goals — Lauzon's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Forsberg's goal. Kevin Lankinen allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
CAR 2.2 xG · 31 shots
NSH 3.5 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 2.1
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Juuso Parssinen · 1st 05:18 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Stefan Noesen · 1st 10:23 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 12:13 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Roman Josi · 2nd 03:47 · 2–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 04:50 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 05:09 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 09:26 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
8
Martin Necas · 2nd 09:51 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Tyson Barrie · 2nd 10:18 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Jeremy Lauzon · 3rd 10:57 · 5–5 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
11
Filip Forsberg · OT 00:33 · 5–6 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 30.
CAR 30%NSH 70%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Juuso Parssinen · 1st 05:18 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Stefan Noesen · 1st 10:23 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 12:13 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Roman Josi · 2nd 03:47 · 2–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 04:50 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 05:09 · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 09:26 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
8
Martin Necas · 2nd 09:51 · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Tyson Barrie · 2nd 10:18 · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
10
Jeremy Lauzon · 3rd 10:57 · 5–5
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
11
Filip Forsberg · OT 00:33 · GWG · 5–6
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Ryan O'Reilly, Gustav Nyquist · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/30 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
