Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 17-12-3
6–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 21-7-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
112311216639
VGK
113010210333
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 17-12-3 · VGK 21-7-5 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Golden Knights
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Logan Thompson allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 39 and 33 shots on goal.
CAR 3.5 xG · 39 shots
VGK 2.9 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.1
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 10:27 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
William Carrier · 1st 13:15 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Jordan Staal · 2nd 04:36 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 10:11 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 12:39 · 4–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 00:10 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 04:44 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Jack Eichel · 3rd 18:36 · 6–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
William Carrier · 3rd 19:29 · 6–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 58.
CAR 58%VGK 42%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 10:27 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
William Carrier · 1st 13:15 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Jordan Staal · 2nd 04:36 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 10:11 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Michael Bunting · 2nd 12:39 · PP · GWG · 4–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 00:10 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 04:44 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Jack Eichel · 3rd 18:36 · 6–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
William Carrier · 3rd 19:29 · 6–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (36%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/29 saves · 6 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.